公開戰績僅代表過去/當下事實、不代表未來結果；本頁為純資訊揭露、不構成任何投資建議。
僅計入加密／總經相關市場的績效（非該錢包在 Polymarket 上的全部版位，體育／政治等其他版位不計入）；方向一律中性；勝率僅參考、不列入任何排序；無跟單／追蹤／複製。
資料來自 Polymarket 官方公開 API；「官方公開紀錄」徽章代表已通過我們的樣本門檻篩選，並非 本站鏈上查驗（與 Hyperliquid 聰明錢戰績榜的鏈上驗證方法論不同）。
下方「交易紀錄」「目前持倉」為每日批次快照（非即時）、僅列出加密相關市場部位；Polymarket 官方 API 不提供歷史盈虧曲線／夏普值／最大回撤／掛單資料，本頁不做假數據呈現。
加密相關市場已實現損益
+$3,899
僅計加密相關市場、已平倉部位
總損益含未平倉
+$3,601
已實現＋目前未平倉部位的未實現損益
盈虧比
4.4×
平均賺 ÷ 平均賠
綜合分
45
加密相關損益＋盈虧比＋樣本綜合
勝率僅參考
79%
已結算部位中最終獲利的比例，不計入評分、不參與排序
已結算部位
89
加密相關市場中已結算（已解決）的部位數
目前持倉
目前未平倉的加密相關市場部位・損益為未實現、尚未落袋
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
450 份・進場 46% → 現價 0%
−$205
未實現・未落袋
Iran Nuke before 2027?· Yes
2,999.97 份・進場 7% → 現價 4%
−$68
未實現・未落袋
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?· Yes
300 份・進場 24% → 現價 16%
−$25
未實現・未落袋
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?· Yes
500 份・進場 2% → 現價 0%
−$6
未實現・未落袋
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?· No
1.49 份・進場 33% → 現價 97%
+$1
未實現・未落袋
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?· Yes
1,250 份・進場 3% → 現價 3%
−$0
未實現・未落袋
已結算部位
每個市場的最終賺賠・僅加密相關市場・依獲利高低排序・每日批次快照、非即時
US bank failure by January 31?· Yes
進場均價 6%・232 天前
獲利・+$1,275
已實現・已落袋
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?· No
進場均價 90%・57 天前
獲利・+$327
已實現・已落袋
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?· No
進場均價 96%・111 天前
獲利・+$270
已實現・已落袋
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?· No
進場均價 74%・74 天前
獲利・+$262
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?· No
進場均價 95%・508 天前
獲利・+$246
已實現・已落袋
Will Fed end QT before May?· Yes
進場均價 87%・554 天前
獲利・+$191
已實現・已落袋
Celsius founder sentenced to 20+ years?· Yes
進場均價 11%・499 天前
獲利・+$180
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?· No
進場均價 98%・142 天前
獲利・+$132
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?· No
進場均價 43%・293 天前
獲利・+$118
已實現・已落袋
Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?· Yes
進場均價 79%・332 天前
獲利・+$118
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?· No
進場均價 23%・154 天前
獲利・+$113
已實現・已落袋
Anduril IPO before 2027?· Yes
進場均價 28%・160 天前
獲利・+$95
已實現・已落袋
US national Ethereum reserve in 2025?· No
進場均價 53%・566 天前
獲利・+$95
已實現・已落袋
Brex IPO before 2027?· No
進場均價 81%・41 天前
獲利・+$93
已實現・已落袋
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?· No
進場均價 52%・41 天前
獲利・+$89
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?· No
進場均價 98%・142 天前
獲利・+$85
已實現・已落袋
Will Elon say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during Saudi-US investment forum on May 13?· No
進場均價 90%・494 天前
獲利・+$70
已實現・已落袋
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?· Yes
進場均價 36%・262 天前
獲利・+$67
已實現・已落袋
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?· No
進場均價 92%・331 天前
獲利・+$66
已實現・已落袋
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO in 2025?· No
進場均價 47%・262 天前
獲利・+$65
已實現・已落袋
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?· No
進場均價 99%・415 天前
獲利・+$58
已實現・已落袋
Will no one dissent September Fed decision?· No
進場均價 99%・367 天前
獲利・+$50
已實現・已落袋
Will the unemployment rate for February be less than or equal to 3.9%?· No
進場均價 88%・561 天前
獲利・+$50
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?· No
進場均價 96%・476 天前
獲利・+$47
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?· No
進場均價 97%・731 天前
獲利・+$47
已實現・已落袋
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?· No
進場均價 31%・352 天前
獲利・+$44
已實現・已落袋
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?· No
進場均價 50%・3 天前
獲利・+$42
已實現・已落袋
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?· No
進場均價 99%・108 天前
獲利・+$42
已實現・已落袋
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?· Yes
進場均價 79%・562 天前
獲利・+$41
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?· No
進場均價 98%・384 天前
獲利・+$40
已實現・已落袋
Trump cryptocurrency executive order this week?· No
進場均價 95%・548 天前
獲利・+$40
已實現・已落袋
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?· Yes
進場均價 13%・28 天前
獲利・+$39
已實現・已落袋
Brex IPO before 2027?· Yes
進場均價 11%・224 天前
獲利・+$38
已實現・已落袋
dogwifhat on the sphere in 2025?· No
進場均價 88%・461 天前
獲利・+$37
已實現・已落袋
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 32%・745 天前
獲利・+$32
已實現・已落袋
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?· No
進場均價 92%・169 天前
獲利・+$32
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?· No
進場均價 99%・507 天前
獲利・+$31
已實現・已落袋
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?· No
進場均價 88%・384 天前
獲利・+$31
已實現・已落袋
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?· No
進場均價 96%・262 天前
獲利・+$29
已實現・已落袋
Will Barron launch a coin before May?· No
進場均價 97%・507 天前
獲利・+$28
已實現・已落袋
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?· No
進場均價 94%・537 天前
獲利・+$24
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 15%・393 天前
獲利・+$23
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump sign Bitcoin reserve executive order Friday?· No
進場均價 98%・561 天前
獲利・+$20
已實現・已落袋
US bank failure by March 31?· Yes
進場均價 93%・232 天前
獲利・+$19
已實現・已落袋
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?· Yes
進場均價 49%・156 天前
獲利・+$18
已實現・已落袋
Fed rate cut by September meeting?· Yes
進場均價 65%・367 天前
獲利・+$18
已實現・已落袋
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 on March 9?· Yes
進場均價 29%・194 天前
獲利・+$16
已實現・已落袋
Will no one dissent September Fed decision?· Yes
進場均價 5%・368 天前
獲利・+$16
已實現・已落袋
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?· No
進場均價 36%・165 天前
獲利・+$16
已實現・已落袋
Another US bank failure by February 28?· No
進場均價 96%・201 天前
獲利・+$15
已實現・已落袋
Will SBF launch a coin before April?· No
進場均價 93%・569 天前
獲利・+$14
已實現・已落袋
Will anyone audibly fart during the Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders Meeting?· No
進場均價 98%・504 天前
獲利・+$13
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?· Yes
進場均價 99%・522 天前
獲利・+$9
已實現・已落袋
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 8-14?· Yes
進場均價 98%・523 天前
獲利・+$6
已實現・已落袋
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 on March 9?· No
進場均價 70%・194 天前
獲利・+$6
已實現・已落袋
US bank failure by December 31?· No
進場均價 97%・262 天前
獲利・+$6
已實現・已落袋
Will Tether acquire Circle before September?· No
進場均價 97%・467 天前
獲利・+$4
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump announce U.S. purchasing crypto on Friday?· No
進場均價 85%・562 天前
獲利・+$4
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?· Yes
進場均價 1%・388 天前
獲利・+$4
已實現・已落袋
Will Fed end QT before May?· No
進場均價 11%・555 天前
獲利・+$4
已實現・已落袋
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by August 31, 2026?· No
進場均價 99%・19 天前
獲利・+$4
已實現・已落袋
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2025?· No
進場均價 78%・588 天前
獲利・+$3
已實現・已落袋
Senate passes bill to purchase 1m Bitcoin in 2025?· No
進場均價 83%・262 天前
獲利・+$3
已實現・已落袋
US national Solana reserve in 2025?· No
進場均價 64%・565 天前
獲利・+$3
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?· Yes
進場均價 99%・535 天前
獲利・+$2
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 93%・443 天前
獲利・+$2
已實現・已落袋
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $215 on March 9?· No
進場均價 56%・194 天前
獲利・+$2
已實現・已落袋
Roaring Kitty shows GameStop holdings by Friday?· No
進場均價 98%・519 天前
獲利・+$1
已實現・已落袋
Will courts block Trump's tariffs by Friday?· No
進場均價 99%・526 天前
獲利・+$1
已實現・已落袋
Citigroup launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?· No
進場均價 95%・262 天前
獲利・+$0
已實現・已落袋
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?· No
進場均價 50%・133 天前
獲利・+$0
已實現・已落袋
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 on March 9?· Yes
進場均價 38%・195 天前
獲利・+$0
已實現・已落袋
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $255 on March 9?· Yes
進場均價 61%・196 天前
獲利・+$0
已實現・已落袋
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?· Yes
進場均價 50%・133 天前
獲利・+$0
已實現・已落袋
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on March 9?· Yes
進場均價 29%・194 天前
虧損・−$0
已實現・已落袋
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on March 9?· No
進場均價 11%・194 天前
虧損・−$0
已實現・已落袋
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on March 9?· No
進場均價 53%・194 天前
虧損・−$0
已實現・已落袋
Trump cryptocurrency executive order this week?· Yes
進場均價 1%・548 天前
虧損・−$1
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?· No
進場均價 1%・523 天前
虧損・−$2
已實現・已落袋
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 0%・234 天前
虧損・−$3
已實現・已落袋
US bank failure by February 28?· No
進場均價 81%・232 天前
虧損・−$5
已實現・已落袋
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $100 end of March?· Yes
進場均價 45%・172 天前
虧損・−$14
已實現・已落袋
Anduril IPO before 2027?· No
進場均價 53%・257 天前
虧損・−$14
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 12%・340 天前
虧損・−$19
已實現・已落袋
Will anyone audibly fart during Digital Asset Summit?· No
進場均價 97%・548 天前
虧損・−$28
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?· Yes
進場均價 16%・160 天前
虧損・−$69
已實現・已落袋
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 45%・731 天前
虧損・−$83
已實現・已落袋
Another US bank failure by March 31?· Yes
進場均價 21%・172 天前
虧損・−$101
已實現・已落袋
US bank failure by March 31?· No
進場均價 64%・232 天前
虧損・−$794
已實現・已落袋
交易紀錄
最近加密相關市場交易・每日批次快照、非即時・中性記錄非跟單建議
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
100 份 @ 36%
9 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
50 份 @ 46%
11 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
50 份 @ 48%
12 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
250 份 @ 49%
15 天前
BUY
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by August 31, 2026?· No
433.33 份 @ 99%
19 天前
SELL
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?· Yes
500 份 @ 21%
28 天前
SELL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?· No
200 份 @ 64%
41 天前
SELL
Brex IPO before 2027?· No
50 份 @ 99%
41 天前
SELL
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?· No
300 份 @ 82%
41 天前
SELL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?· No
149.99 份 @ 63%
43 天前
BUY
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?· Yes
300 份 @ 24%
44 天前
SELL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?· No
1,499.99 份 @ 99%
57 天前
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?· No
250 份 @ 52%
60 天前
SELL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?· No
2,500 份 @ 97%
69 天前
BUY
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?· No
2,000 份 @ 96%
74 天前
BUY
Iran Nuke before 2027?· Yes
1,000 份 @ 4%
75 天前
BUY
Iran Nuke before 2027?· Yes
499.99 份 @ 7%
83 天前
BUY
Iran Nuke before 2027?· Yes
250 份 @ 6%
84 天前
BUY
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?· No
499.99 份 @ 55%
88 天前
BUY
Iran Nuke before 2027?· Yes
499.99 份 @ 7%
97 天前
BUY
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?· No
200 份 @ 74%
97 天前
BUY
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?· No
836 份 @ 99%
120 天前
BUY
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?· No
519 份 @ 99%
124 天前
BUY
Iran Nuke before 2027?· Yes
250 份 @ 9%
131 天前
BUY
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?· No
450 份 @ 95%
132 天前
BUY
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?· No
500 份 @ 96%
134 天前
BUY
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?· No
643 份 @ 96%
135 天前
BUY
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?· No
500 份 @ 96%
135 天前
BUY
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?· No
1,000 份 @ 96%
136 天前
BUY
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?· No
2,856.99 份 @ 94%
137 天前
BUY
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?· No
622.28 份 @ 95%
143 天前
BUY
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?· No
2,249 份 @ 99%
144 天前
BUY
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?· No
1,500 份 @ 98%
145 天前
BUY
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?· No
7 份 @ 97%
145 天前
BUY
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?· No
1,492.81 份 @ 97%
145 天前
BUY
Iran Nuke before 2027?· Yes
200 份 @ 11%
146 天前
SELL
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?· No
300 份 @ 96%
151 天前
SELL
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?· No
200 份 @ 96%
151 天前
SELL
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?· No
499.33 份 @ 95%
151 天前
SELL
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?· No
200 份 @ 48%
154 天前
SELL
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?· No
2,000 份 @ 86%
155 天前
BUY
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?· No
49.35 份 @ 85%
155 天前
BUY
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?· No
500 份 @ 23%
155 天前
BUY
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?· No
500 份 @ 93%
156 天前
BUY
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?· Yes
200 份 @ 49%
156 天前
SELL
Anduril IPO before 2027?· Yes
164.53 份 @ 7%
160 天前
BUY
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?· No
1,000 份 @ 90%
160 天前
BUY
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?· No
500 份 @ 89%
160 天前
SELL
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?· Yes
700 份 @ 6%
160 天前
BUY
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?· Yes
200 份 @ 12%
161 天前
FlowRadar Crypto· 純資訊與分析服務（information & analytics only）· 不構成任何投資建議資料來自 Polymarket 官方公開 API · 僅計加密相關市場 · 方向中性 · 勝率僅參考不排序 · 無跟單／複製／個人化