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Vilgefortz
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POLYMARKET・官方公開紀錄1 天前
無跟單 · 無個人化

公開戰績僅代表過去/當下事實、不代表未來結果;本頁為純資訊揭露、不構成任何投資建議。

僅計入加密/總經相關市場的績效(非該錢包在 Polymarket 上的全部版位,體育/政治等其他版位不計入);方向一律中性;勝率僅參考、不列入任何排序;無跟單/追蹤/複製。

資料來自 Polymarket 官方公開 API;「官方公開紀錄」徽章代表已通過我們的樣本門檻篩選,並非 本站鏈上查驗(與 Hyperliquid 聰明錢戰績榜的鏈上驗證方法論不同)。

下方「交易紀錄」「目前持倉」為每日批次快照(非即時)、僅列出加密相關市場部位;Polymarket 官方 API 不提供歷史盈虧曲線/夏普值/最大回撤/掛單資料,本頁不做假數據呈現。

加密相關市場已實現損益
+$256,376

僅計加密相關市場、已平倉部位

總損益含未平倉
+$247,174

已實現+目前未平倉部位的未實現損益

盈虧比
2.9×

平均賺 ÷ 平均賠

綜合分
54

加密相關損益+盈虧比+樣本綜合

勝率僅參考
73%

已結算部位中最終獲利的比例,不計入評分、不參與排序

已結算部位
112

加密相關市場中已結算(已解決)的部位數

目前持倉

目前未平倉的加密相關市場部位・損益為未實現、尚未落袋

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?· Yes
37,000 份・進場 21% → 現價 16%
−$2,089
未實現・未落袋
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?· No
269,900 份・進場 83% → 現價 84%
+$347
未實現・未落袋
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?· No
68,999.98 份・進場 93% → 現價 94%
+$345
未實現・未落袋

已結算部位

每個市場的最終賺賠・僅加密相關市場・依獲利高低排序・每日批次快照、非即時

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 55%・283 天前
獲利+$98,742
已實現・已落袋
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 72%・3 天前
獲利+$45,360
已實現・已落袋
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 27%・731 天前
獲利+$32,992
已實現・已落袋
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 90%・367 天前
獲利+$25,529
已實現・已落袋
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?· No
進場均價 85%・3 天前
獲利+$22,459
已實現・已落袋
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 80%・640 天前
獲利+$21,202
已實現・已落袋
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 86%・325 天前
獲利+$19,331
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 94%・234 天前
獲利+$15,215
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 91%・549 天前
獲利+$13,790
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 91%・500 天前
獲利+$11,507
已實現・已落袋
Fed rate cut in 2025?· Yes
進場均價 76%・367 天前
獲利+$10,536
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 88%・458 天前
獲利+$10,454
已實現・已落袋
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin March 25-31?· Yes
進場均價 81%・537 天前
獲利+$8,930
已實現・已落袋
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?· No
進場均價 94%・568 天前
獲利+$7,946
已實現・已落袋
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 93%・94 天前
獲利+$7,249
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 91%・416 天前
獲利+$6,443
已實現・已落袋
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?· Yes
進場均價 66%・568 天前
獲利+$4,580
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 97%・598 天前
獲利+$3,203
已實現・已落袋
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 4-10?· Yes
進場均價 78%・586 天前
獲利+$3,188
已實現・已落袋
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 18-24?· Yes
進場均價 84%・572 天前
獲利+$2,567
已實現・已落袋
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 98%・147 天前
獲利+$2,425
已實現・已落袋
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?· Yes
進場均價 86%・621 天前
獲利+$1,898
已實現・已落袋
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?· No
進場均價 96%・88 天前
獲利+$1,635
已實現・已落袋
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?· No
進場均價 88%・50 天前
獲利+$1,607
已實現・已落袋
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?· Yes
進場均價 96%・663 天前
獲利+$1,468
已實現・已落袋
Ethereum all time high in 2024?· No
進場均價 96%・627 天前
獲利+$1,287
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?· No
進場均價 96%・627 天前
獲利+$1,263
已實現・已落袋
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 15-21?· Yes
進場均價 71%・516 天前
獲利+$1,202
已實現・已落袋
Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before April?· No
進場均價 94%・537 天前
獲利+$1,052
已實現・已落袋
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?· No
進場均價 86%・81 天前
獲利+$871
已實現・已落袋
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 11-17?· No
進場均價 98%・579 天前
獲利+$704
已實現・已落袋
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?· Yes
進場均價 93%・195 天前
獲利+$703
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?· No
進場均價 96%・627 天前
獲利+$588
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump remove tariff on China before May?· No
進場均價 95%・507 天前
獲利+$436
已實現・已落袋
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?· No
進場均價 95%・204 天前
獲利+$331
已實現・已落袋
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 13-19?· Yes
進場均價 89%・488 天前
獲利+$330
已實現・已落袋
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?· No
進場均價 82%・194 天前
獲利+$324
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?· Yes
進場均價 97%・283 天前
獲利+$228
已實現・已落袋
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?· Yes
進場均價 91%・635 天前
獲利+$223
已實現・已落袋
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?· No
進場均價 100%・262 天前
獲利+$200
已實現・已落袋
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 6-12?· Yes
進場均價 90%・495 天前
獲利+$200
已實現・已落袋
Will MicroStrategy hold 400k+ BTC before 2025?· Yes
進場均價 74%・663 天前
獲利+$182
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?· No
進場均價 97%・658 天前
獲利+$174
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?· Yes
進場均價 97%・143 天前
獲利+$128
已實現・已落袋
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?· No
進場均價 73%・262 天前
獲利+$124
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?· Yes
進場均價 95%・367 天前
獲利+$118
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?· No
進場均價 93%・627 天前
獲利+$118
已實現・已落袋
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?· No
進場均價 93%・184 天前
獲利+$109
已實現・已落袋
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?· Yes
進場均價 95%・232 天前
獲利+$78
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?· Yes
進場均價 98%・325 天前
獲利+$76
已實現・已落袋
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?· Yes
進場均價 78%・614 天前
獲利+$70
已實現・已落袋
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 42%・458 天前
獲利+$61
已實現・已落袋
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?· No
進場均價 94%・190 天前
獲利+$57
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?· Yes
進場均價 98%・458 天前
獲利+$57
已實現・已落袋
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?· No
進場均價 99%・262 天前
獲利+$56
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?· No
進場均價 99%・658 天前
獲利+$42
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?· No
進場均價 99%・568 天前
獲利+$33
已實現・已落袋
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?· Yes
進場均價 15%・233 天前
獲利+$31
已實現・已落袋
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?· No
進場均價 100%・258 天前
獲利+$28
已實現・已落袋
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?· No
進場均價 97%・477 天前
獲利+$25
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?· No
進場均價 98%・264 天前
獲利+$20
已實現・已落袋
Will Uranium (USD/LBS) hit $115 (HIGH) by end of February?· No
進場均價 95%・201 天前
獲利+$18
已實現・已落袋
Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before May?· No
進場均價 80%・519 天前
獲利+$18
已實現・已落袋
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% in 2025?· No
進場均價 100%・262 天前
獲利+$15
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?· No
進場均價 100%・596 天前
獲利+$12
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by January 31, 2025?· No
進場均價 100%・596 天前
獲利+$10
已實現・已落袋
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 16, 2026?· No
進場均價 96%・248 天前
獲利+$8
已實現・已落袋
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?· No
進場均價 100%・262 天前
獲利+$8
已實現・已落袋
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?· No
進場均價 100%・262 天前
獲利+$7
已實現・已落袋
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?· No
進場均價 98%・652 天前
獲利+$7
已實現・已落袋
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 22-28?· Yes
進場均價 99%・509 天前
獲利+$6
已實現・已落袋
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?· Yes
進場均價 48%・481 天前
獲利+$6
已實現・已落袋
Will Uranium (USD/LBS) hit $70 (LOW) by end of February?· No
進場均價 97%・201 天前
獲利+$4
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by January 31, 2025?· No
進場均價 100%・596 天前
獲利+$4
已實現・已落袋
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?· No
進場均價 100%・275 天前
獲利+$3
已實現・已落袋
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in 2025?· No
進場均價 100%・262 天前
獲利+$3
已實現・已落袋
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?· No
進場均價 92%・196 天前
獲利+$3
已實現・已落袋
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?· No
進場均價 100%・262 天前
獲利+$3
已實現・已落袋
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026?· Yes
進場均價 100%・232 天前
獲利+$1
已實現・已落袋
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December meeting?· No
進場均價 100%・277 天前
獲利+$1
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by January 31, 2025?· No
進場均價 100%・596 天前
獲利+$0
已實現・已落袋
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?· No
進場均價 97%・456 天前
獲利+$0
已實現・已落袋
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?· No
進場均價 50%・1 天前
獲利+$0
已實現・已落袋
Will the ECB announce an increase at the December meeting?· No
進場均價 100%・277 天前
獲利+$0
已實現・已落袋
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?· Yes
進場均價 50%・1 天前
獲利+$0
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump impose tariffs on Mexico before March?· Yes
進場均價 92%・596 天前
虧損−$3
已實現・已落袋
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?· No
進場均價 50%・190 天前
虧損−$14
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump impose tariffs on Mexico before March?· No
進場均價 20%・596 天前
虧損−$15
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 65%・283 天前
虧損−$50
已實現・已落袋
Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?· Yes
進場均價 7%・283 天前
虧損−$169
已實現・已落袋
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb Mar 11-17?· Yes
進場均價 27%・552 天前
虧損−$199
已實現・已落袋
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?· No
進場均價 2%・621 天前
虧損−$505
已實現・已落袋
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb Mar 4-10?· Yes
進場均價 17%・559 天前
虧損−$717
已實現・已落袋
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 8-14?· No
進場均價 15%・524 天前
虧損−$836
已實現・已落袋
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 11-17?· Yes
進場均價 40%・579 天前
虧損−$1,029
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 29%・640 天前
虧損−$1,103
已實現・已落袋
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 1-7?· Yes
進場均價 32%・531 天前
虧損−$1,989
已實現・已落袋
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin before February?· No
進場均價 10%・600 天前
虧損−$2,090
已實現・已落袋
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 18-24?· No
進場均價 49%・572 天前
虧損−$2,090
已實現・已落袋
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 1%・3 天前
虧損−$2,915
已實現・已落袋
Will MicroStrategy buy 200+ Bitcoin in next purchase?· No
進場均價 35%・544 天前
虧損−$3,355
已實現・已落袋
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?· No
進場均價 97%・233 天前
虧損−$3,654
已實現・已落袋
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 58%・731 天前
虧損−$3,876
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?· No
進場均價 98%・367 天前
虧損−$4,633
已實現・已落袋
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 98%・185 天前
虧損−$5,262
已實現・已落袋
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?· Yes
進場均價 50%・172 天前
虧損−$5,440
已實現・已落袋
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 24%・444 天前
虧損−$6,618
已實現・已落袋
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin March 18-24?· No
進場均價 18%・544 天前
虧損−$7,920
已實現・已落袋
US-China trade deal before June?· No
進場均價 77%・496 天前
虧損−$13,560
已實現・已落袋
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 25-Mar 3?· Yes
進場均價 54%・565 天前
虧損−$15,932
已實現・已落袋
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?· No
進場均價 66%・481 天前
虧損−$24,342
已實現・已落袋
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 29%・500 天前
虧損−$27,232
已實現・已落袋

交易紀錄

最近加密相關市場交易・每日批次快照、非即時・中性記錄非跟單建議

BUY
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?· No
27.73 份 @ 85%
22 小時前
BUY
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?· No
100 份 @ 84%
1 天前
BUY
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?· No
30,900 份 @ 84%
1 天前
BUY
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?· No
35,000 份 @ 84%
1 天前
BUY
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?· No
34,975.66 份 @ 84%
1 天前
BUY
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?· No
2,498.51 份 @ 83%
2 天前
BUY
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?· No
22,000 份 @ 93%
3 天前
BUY
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?· No
10,000 份 @ 93%
3 天前
BUY
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?· No
10,210.14 份 @ 83%
3 天前
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
334.12 份 @ 1%
3 天前
SELL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
5 份 @ 87%
3 天前
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
9,665.88 份 @ 1%
3 天前
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
90,000 份 @ 1%
3 天前
SELL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
1,000 份 @ 88%
3 天前
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
10,000 份 @ 1%
4 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?· No
9,400 份 @ 88%
4 天前
SELL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?· No
9,999.99 份 @ 83%
4 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?· No
3,600.01 份 @ 89%
4 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?· No
28,909.86 份 @ 88%
4 天前
SELL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?· No
50,000 份 @ 83%
4 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?· No
5,470.76 份 @ 88%
4 天前
SELL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?· No
10,000 份 @ 83%
4 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?· No
3,900 份 @ 89%
4 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?· No
1,432.83 份 @ 88%
4 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?· No
2,986.75 份 @ 87%
4 天前
SELL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?· No
20,000 份 @ 83%
4 天前
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
50,000.02 份 @ 1%
5 天前
SELL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?· No
500 份 @ 83%
5 天前
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
120,000 份 @ 1%
5 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?· No
23,000 份 @ 85%
5 天前
SELL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?· No
24,000 份 @ 83%
5 天前
SELL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?· No
1,500 份 @ 83%
5 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?· No
400 份 @ 86%
5 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?· No
11,100 份 @ 86%
5 天前
SELL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?· No
12,000 份 @ 83%
5 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?· No
1,900 份 @ 86%
5 天前
SELL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?· No
2,000 份 @ 83%
5 天前
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
500 份 @ 84%
5 天前
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
9,500 份 @ 84%
5 天前
SELL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?· No
10,200 份 @ 83%
5 天前
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
200 份 @ 78%
6 天前
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
6,500 份 @ 78%
6 天前
SELL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?· No
5,800 份 @ 83%
6 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?· No
11,000 份 @ 79%
6 天前
SELL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?· No
11,000 份 @ 83%
6 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?· No
14,300 份 @ 79%
6 天前
SELL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?· No
14,000 份 @ 83%
6 天前
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
300.01 份 @ 81%
8 天前
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
999.99 份 @ 81%
8 天前
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
3,300.01 份 @ 82%
8 天前
FlowRadar Crypto· 純資訊與分析服務(information & analytics only)· 不構成任何投資建議資料來自 Polymarket 官方公開 API · 僅計加密相關市場 · 方向中性 · 勝率僅參考不排序 · 無跟單/複製/個人化