公開戰績僅代表過去/當下事實、不代表未來結果;本頁為純資訊揭露、不構成任何投資建議。
僅計入加密/總經相關市場的績效(非該錢包在 Polymarket 上的全部版位,體育/政治等其他版位不計入);方向一律中性;勝率僅參考、不列入任何排序;無跟單/追蹤/複製。
資料來自 Polymarket 官方公開 API——「已驗證」代表已通過我們的樣本門檻篩選,非本站鏈上查驗(與 Hyperliquid 聰明錢戰績榜的鏈上驗證方法論不同)。
下方「交易紀錄」「目前持倉」為每日批次快照(非即時)、僅列出加密相關市場部位;Polymarket 官方 API 不提供歷史盈虧曲線/夏普值/最大回撤/掛單資料,本頁不做假數據呈現。
加密相關市場已實現損益
+$477,829
僅計加密相關市場、已平倉部位
總損益含未平倉
+$413,471
已實現+目前未平倉部位的未實現損益
盈虧比
3.1×
平均賺 ÷ 平均賠
綜合分
53
加密相關損益+盈虧比+樣本綜合
勝率僅參考
82%
已結算部位中最終獲利的比例,不計入評分、不參與排序
已結算部位
145
加密相關市場中已結算(已解決)的部位數
交易紀錄
最近加密相關市場交易・每日批次快照、非即時・中性記錄非跟單建議
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
10,000 份 @ 46%
22 小時前
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
15,000 份 @ 46%
22 小時前
SELL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
983.09 份 @ 18%
7 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· No
13,811.49 份 @ 19%
7 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· No
13,811.48 份 @ 19%
7 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· No
195.75 份 @ 25%
8 天前
SELL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?· No
6,500 份 @ 100%
8 天前
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?· No
262,228.01 份 @ 99%
9 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
4,627.35 份 @ 77%
9 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
2,056.6 份 @ 77%
9 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
5,000 份 @ 77%
9 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
13,357.51 份 @ 77%
9 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
13,000 份 @ 77%
9 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
28,000 份 @ 77%
9 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
20,100 份 @ 78%
9 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
30,000 份 @ 79%
9 天前
SELL
Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?· No
60.09 份 @ 81%
12 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
1,800 份 @ 71%
12 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
1,200 份 @ 71%
12 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
5,000 份 @ 70%
12 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
5,000 份 @ 71%
12 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
8,000 份 @ 71%
12 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
25,000 份 @ 71%
12 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
5,000 份 @ 72%
12 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
21,222 份 @ 72%
12 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
50,000 份 @ 72%
12 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
30,000 份 @ 70%
12 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
11,000 份 @ 72%
12 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
37,745.01 份 @ 71%
12 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
254.99 份 @ 69%
12 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
31,000 份 @ 74%
12 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
7,048.55 份 @ 76%
12 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
64,000 份 @ 74%
12 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
33,183 份 @ 76%
12 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
31,738.08 份 @ 75%
12 天前
SELL
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?· No
584.66 份 @ 56%
13 天前
SELL
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?· No
634.73 份 @ 71%
13 天前
SELL
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?· No
1,250.01 份 @ 84%
13 天前
SELL
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?· No
3,750.01 份 @ 78%
13 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
25,664.52 份 @ 93%
22 天前
SELL
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?· No
336.77 份 @ 90%
22 天前
SELL
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?· No
37,527.51 份 @ 90%
22 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
118,909.93 份 @ 93%
22 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
7,623.98 份 @ 91%
22 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
59,540.43 份 @ 90%
22 天前
SELL
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?· No
245,332.94 份 @ 99%
22 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
2,120 份 @ 88%
22 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
105,555.56 份 @ 90%
22 天前
SELL
Fed rate hike in 2026?· No
3,373.43 份 @ 31%
23 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
19,664.59 份 @ 59%
23 天前
目前持倉
目前未平倉的加密相關市場部位・損益為未實現、尚未落袋
Fed rate hike in 2026?· No
100,735.02 份・進場 68% → 現價 38%
−$30,952
未實現・未落袋
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
126,799.58 份・進場 51% → 現價 45%
−$8,709
未實現・未落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?· Yes
13,818.35 份・進場 66% → 現價 15%
−$7,017
未實現・未落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?· Yes
14,999.98 份・進場 45% → 現價 9%
−$5,475
未實現・未落袋
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?· Yes
6,278.44 份・進場 70% → 現價 0%
−$4,412
未實現・未落袋
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?· No
4,356.37 份・進場 92% → 現價 0%
−$4,004
未實現・未落袋
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?· No
6,851.71 份・進場 56% → 現價 90%
+$2,337
未實現・未落袋
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?· Yes
10,039.71 份・進場 19% → 現價 5%
−$1,418
未實現・未落袋
Will two people dissent the October Fed decision?· No
1,422.58 份・進場 83% → 現價 0%
−$1,177
未實現・未落袋
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?· No
5,346.64 份・進場 77% → 現價 92%
+$804
未實現・未落袋
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?· No
639.69 份・進場 76% → 現價 0%
−$485
未實現・未落袋
Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?· Yes
501.79 份・進場 88% → 現價 0%
−$440
未實現・未落袋
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?· No
1,167.31 份・進場 79% → 現價 43%
−$428
未實現・未落袋
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?· No
613.48 份・進場 64% → 現價 0%
−$393
未實現・未落袋
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in July?· Yes
14,209.8 份・進場 3% → 現價 0%
−$387
未實現・未落袋
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?· Yes
1,276.54 份・進場 38% → 現價 8%
−$384
未實現・未落袋
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?· No
393.42 份・進場 64% → 現價 0%
−$252
未實現・未落袋
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?· No
828.39 份・進場 81% → 現價 55%
−$223
未實現・未落袋
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?· No
591.48 份・進場 32% → 現價 0%
−$189
未實現・未落袋
Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?· Yes
251 份・進場 57% → 現價 0%
−$143
未實現・未落袋
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?· Yes
1,139.57 份・進場 24% → 現價 12%
−$142
未實現・未落袋
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?· Yes
255 份・進場 62% → 現價 17%
−$116
未實現・未落袋
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in July?· Yes
599.94 份・進場 19% → 現價 0%
−$115
未實現・未落袋
US bank failure by January 31?· No
100 份・進場 99% → 現價 0%
−$99
未實現・未落袋
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?· No
6,851.28 份・進場 91% → 現價 90%
−$87
未實現・未落袋
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?· Yes
560.78 份・進場 36% → 現價 27%
−$53
未實現・未落袋
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?· No
233.65 份・進場 74% → 現價 95%
+$48
未實現・未落袋
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?· No
252.14 份・進場 82% → 現價 99%
+$45
未實現・未落袋
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?· Yes
245.34 份・進場 41% → 現價 56%
+$38
未實現・未落袋
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?· Yes
100 份・進場 45% → 現價 10%
−$35
未實現・未落袋
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?· No
225.41 份・進場 25% → 現價 12%
−$28
未實現・未落袋
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?· No
1,651.55 份・進場 94% → 現價 96%
+$25
未實現・未落袋
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?· No
1,022.58 份・進場 90% → 現價 92%
+$24
未實現・未落袋
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?· No
100 份・進場 71% → 現價 48%
−$23
未實現・未落袋
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?· No
155.8 份・進場 80% → 現價 92%
+$19
未實現・未落袋
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?· No
360.89 份・進場 5% → 現價 0%
−$18
未實現・未落袋
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?· Yes
641.27 份・進場 5% → 現價 3%
−$18
未實現・未落袋
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in August?· Yes
100 份・進場 17% → 現價 0%
−$17
未實現・未落袋
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?· No
33.54 份・進場 48% → 現價 0%
−$16
未實現・未落袋
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?· Yes
65 份・進場 30% → 現價 7%
−$15
未實現・未落袋
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?· Yes
53.48 份・進場 42% → 現價 18%
−$13
未實現・未落袋
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in August?· Yes
393.07 份・進場 2% → 現價 0%
−$10
未實現・未落袋
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?· Yes
142.86 份・進場 7% → 現價 1%
−$9
未實現・未落袋
Will 53 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?· Yes
65.48 份・進場 13% → 現價 0%
−$8
未實現・未落袋
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?· Yes
713.69 份・進場 35% → 現價 34%
−$7
未實現・未落袋
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?· Yes
52.63 份・進場 19% → 現價 9%
−$6
未實現・未落袋
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.0%?· Yes
291.06 份・進場 1% → 現價 0%
−$4
未實現・未落袋
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?· No
116.74 份・進場 2% → 現價 0%
−$2
未實現・未落袋
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?· Yes
25 份・進場 7% → 現價 0%
−$2
未實現・未落袋
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?· Yes
200 份・進場 1% → 現價 0%
−$2
未實現・未落袋
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?· Yes
20 份・進場 5% → 現價 0%
−$1
未實現・未落袋
FlowRadar Crypto· 純資訊與分析服務(information & analytics only)· 不構成任何投資建議資料來自 Polymarket 官方公開 API · 僅計加密相關市場 · 方向中性 · 勝率僅參考不排序 · 無跟單/複製/個人化
