公開戰績僅代表過去/當下事實、不代表未來結果；本頁為純資訊揭露、不構成任何投資建議。
僅計入加密／總經相關市場的績效（非該錢包在 Polymarket 上的全部版位，體育／政治等其他版位不計入）；方向一律中性；勝率僅參考、不列入任何排序；無跟單／追蹤／複製。
資料來自 Polymarket 官方公開 API；「官方公開紀錄」徽章代表已通過我們的樣本門檻篩選，並非 本站鏈上查驗（與 Hyperliquid 聰明錢戰績榜的鏈上驗證方法論不同）。
下方「交易紀錄」「目前持倉」為每日批次快照（非即時）、僅列出加密相關市場部位；Polymarket 官方 API 不提供歷史盈虧曲線／夏普值／最大回撤／掛單資料，本頁不做假數據呈現。
加密相關市場已實現損益
+$27,647
僅計加密相關市場、已平倉部位
總損益含未平倉
+$27,976
已實現＋目前未平倉部位的未實現損益
盈虧比
2.1×
平均賺 ÷ 平均賠
綜合分
53
加密相關損益＋盈虧比＋樣本綜合
勝率僅參考
87%
已結算部位中最終獲利的比例，不計入評分、不參與排序
已結算部位
408
加密相關市場中已結算（已解決）的部位數
目前持倉
目前未平倉的加密相關市場部位・損益為未實現、尚未落袋
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?· No
34,170.39 份・進場 82% → 現價 84%
+$405
未實現・未落袋
China x Japan military clash before 2027?· No
6,475.18 份・進場 92% → 現價 95%
+$171
未實現・未落袋
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?· Yes
11,169 份・進場 50% → 現價 51%
+$140
未實現・未落袋
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?· No
11,169 份・進場 50% → 現價 49%
−$140
未實現・未落袋
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?· No
7,800 份・進場 96% → 現價 96%
−$25
未實現・未落袋
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?· No
200 份・進場 91% → 現價 97%
+$11
未實現・未落袋
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?· No
2,000 份・進場 93% → 現價 94%
+$10
未實現・未落袋
Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?· No
50 份・進場 98% → 現價 100%
+$1
未實現・未落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?· No
436.99 份・進場 96% → 現價 95%
−$1
未實現・未落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?· No
154.34 份・進場 97% → 現價 96%
−$0
未實現・未落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?· No
400 份・進場 93% → 現價 93%
+$0
未實現・未落袋
已結算部位
每個市場的最終賺賠・僅加密相關市場・依獲利高低排序・每日批次快照、非即時
清單不完整：資料來源依獲利高低提供且有筆數上限，未列出的是虧損最大的部位——實際表現可能比這裡顯示的差。
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 92%・367 天前
獲利・+$9,496
已實現・已落袋
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?· No
進場均價 80%・640 天前
獲利・+$2,891
已實現・已落袋
Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 20?· Yes
進場均價 95%・456 天前
獲利・+$2,504
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 95%・416 天前
獲利・+$2,211
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $109K and $110K on May 27 at 5 PM ET?· Yes
進場均價 93%・480 天前
獲利・+$2,004
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 98%・500 天前
獲利・+$1,933
已實現・已落袋
Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with >2 dissents?· Yes
進場均價 38%・283 天前
獲利・+$1,710
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?· No
進場均價 89%・598 天前
獲利・+$1,510
已實現・已落袋
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 75%・52 天前
獲利・+$1,423
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?· No
進場均價 66%・627 天前
獲利・+$1,411
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 97%・458 天前
獲利・+$1,382
已實現・已落袋
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?· No
進場均價 100%・143 天前
獲利・+$1,364
已實現・已落袋
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?· Yes
進場均價 57%・232 天前
獲利・+$1,193
已實現・已落袋
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?· No
進場均價 14%・143 天前
獲利・+$1,099
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?· No
進場均價 84%・262 天前
獲利・+$917
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $110K on May 24 at 5 PM ET?· No
進場均價 100%・483 天前
獲利・+$871
已實現・已落袋
Will one person dissent the March Fed decision?· Yes
進場均價 96%・185 天前
獲利・+$798
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $111K on May 27 at 5 PM ET?· No
進場均價 94%・480 天前
獲利・+$793
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?· No
進場均價 98%・367 天前
獲利・+$718
已實現・已落袋
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?· No
進場均價 99%・108 天前
獲利・+$670
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during January press conference?· Yes
進場均價 73%・598 天前
獲利・+$666
已實現・已落袋
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?· Yes
進場均價 88%・283 天前
獲利・+$657
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by February 28, 2025?· No
進場均價 96%・568 天前
獲利・+$500
已實現・已落袋
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?· No
進場均價 99%・416 天前
獲利・+$484
已實現・已落袋
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?· No
進場均價 99%・283 天前
獲利・+$469
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?· No
進場均價 96%・325 天前
獲利・+$454
已實現・已落袋
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?· No
進場均價 100%・110 天前
獲利・+$439
已實現・已落袋
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?· Yes
進場均價 99%・596 天前
獲利・+$398
已實現・已落袋
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?· Yes
進場均價 85%・3 天前
獲利・+$393
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $108K on June 11 at 5 PM ET?· No
進場均價 99%・465 天前
獲利・+$372
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?· No
進場均價 100%・666 天前
獲利・+$325
已實現・已落袋
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?· No
進場均價 100%・3 天前
獲利・+$321
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 95%・234 天前
獲利・+$320
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?· No
進場均價 99%・508 天前
獲利・+$315
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Mar 28?· Yes
進場均價 86%・540 天前
獲利・+$312
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?· No
進場均價 99%・658 天前
獲利・+$291
已實現・已落袋
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?· No
進場均價 94%・234 天前
獲利・+$288
已實現・已落袋
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 98%・325 天前
獲利・+$281
已實現・已落袋
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?· Yes
進場均價 40%・575 天前
獲利・+$281
已實現・已落袋
Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?· No
進場均價 99%・428 天前
獲利・+$271
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on June 20?· No
進場均價 98%・456 天前
獲利・+$259
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 98%・549 天前
獲利・+$257
已實現・已落袋
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?· No
進場均價 99%・3 天前
獲利・+$257
已實現・已落袋
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?· Yes
進場均價 100%・264 天前
獲利・+$253
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?· No
進場均價 99%・657 天前
獲利・+$252
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $119K on July 23?· Yes
進場均價 100%・423 天前
獲利・+$245
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?· No
進場均價 100%・596 天前
獲利・+$224
已實現・已落袋
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?· No
進場均價 99%・415 天前
獲利・+$210
已實現・已落袋
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?· No
進場均價 94%・506 天前
獲利・+$200
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 98%・598 天前
獲利・+$191
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Weakening" during December press conference?· No
進場均價 98%・283 天前
獲利・+$186
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?· Yes
進場均價 100%・522 天前
獲利・+$186
已實現・已落袋
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?· Yes
進場均價 61%・3 天前
獲利・+$181
已實現・已落袋
Will no one dissent September Fed decision?· No
進場均價 92%・367 天前
獲利・+$179
已實現・已落袋
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?· No
進場均價 100%・234 天前
獲利・+$179
已實現・已落袋
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?· No
進場均價 100%・52 天前
獲利・+$178
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 25 at 5PM ET?· Yes
進場均價 99%・451 天前
獲利・+$175
已實現・已落袋
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?· No
進場均價 83%・640 天前
獲利・+$148
已實現・已落袋
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?· No
進場均價 99%・549 天前
獲利・+$128
已實現・已落袋
Will two people dissent the October Fed decision?· Yes
進場均價 99%・325 天前
獲利・+$107
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?· No
進場均價 99%・384 天前
獲利・+$98
已實現・已落袋
Will three people dissent the January Fed decision?· No
進場均價 91%・234 天前
獲利・+$97
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December?· Yes
進場均價 76%・643 天前
獲利・+$95
已實現・已落袋
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?· Yes
進場均價 98%・652 天前
獲利・+$94
已實現・已落袋
Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?· No
進場均價 96%・283 天前
獲利・+$91
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Apr 18?· Yes
進場均價 99%・519 天前
獲利・+$90
已實現・已落袋
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?· No
進場均價 100%・234 天前
獲利・+$90
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?· Yes
進場均價 88%・458 天前
獲利・+$89
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?· No
進場均價 99%・446 天前
獲利・+$80
已實現・已落袋
Will one person dissent the September Fed decision?· Yes
進場均價 99%・367 天前
獲利・+$79
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?· No
進場均價 89%・262 天前
獲利・+$76
已實現・已落袋
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 16, 2026?· Yes
進場均價 1%・246 天前
獲利・+$70
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $106K on June 4 at 5 PM ET?· No
進場均價 100%・472 天前
獲利・+$67
已實現・已落袋
Will two people dissent the March Fed decision?· No
進場均價 99%・185 天前
獲利・+$67
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on May 30?· Yes
進場均價 84%・477 天前
獲利・+$65
已實現・已落袋
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 87%・3 天前
獲利・+$65
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Trump" during September press conference?· No
進場均價 96%・367 天前
獲利・+$62
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $109K on May 24 at 5 PM ET?· Yes
進場均價 100%・483 天前
獲利・+$62
已實現・已落袋
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 100%・325 天前
獲利・+$62
已實現・已落袋
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?· No
進場均價 100%・52 天前
獲利・+$60
已實現・已落袋
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?· No
進場均價 15%・596 天前
獲利・+$60
已實現・已落袋
Will four or more people dissent the September Fed decision?· No
進場均價 98%・367 天前
獲利・+$59
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $109K on July 14?· No
進場均價 76%・432 天前
獲利・+$57
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Unemployment" 15+ times during June Press Conference?· Yes
進場均價 96%・458 天前
獲利・+$55
已實現・已落袋
Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 100%・325 天前
獲利・+$54
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Trump" during December press conference?· No
進場均價 97%・283 天前
獲利・+$50
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?· No
進場均價 67%・262 天前
獲利・+$47
已實現・已落袋
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?· No
進場均價 11%・620 天前
獲利・+$47
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?· No
進場均價 74%・11 天前
獲利・+$44
已實現・已落袋
Will three people dissent the September Fed decision?· No
進場均價 93%・367 天前
獲利・+$44
已實現・已落袋
Will CarMax (KMX) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?· No
進場均價 77%・314 天前
獲利・+$44
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Recession" during September press conference?· No
進場均價 97%・367 天前
獲利・+$42
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $110K on May 23 at 5 PM ET?· Yes
進場均價 97%・484 天前
獲利・+$40
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $105k in May?· Yes
進場均價 100%・496 天前
獲利・+$40
已實現・已落袋
Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?· Yes
進場均價 55%・567 天前
獲利・+$40
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 3%・283 天前
獲利・+$40
已實現・已落袋
Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?· Yes
進場均價 99%・603 天前
獲利・+$40
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $106K on June 8 at 5 PM ET?· No
進場均價 100%・468 天前
獲利・+$38
已實現・已落袋
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 23, 2026?· Yes
進場均價 5%・239 天前
獲利・+$38
已實現・已落袋
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?· No
進場均價 100%・416 天前
獲利・+$37
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on June 5 at 5 PM ET?· Yes
進場均價 100%・471 天前
獲利・+$36
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on June 13 at 5 PM ET?· Yes
進場均價 99%・463 天前
獲利・+$36
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Probability" during December press conference?· No
進場均價 98%・283 天前
獲利・+$34
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?· No
進場均價 99%・458 天前
獲利・+$32
已實現・已落袋
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?· No
進場均價 100%・185 天前
獲利・+$31
已實現・已落袋
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?· No
進場均價 100%・185 天前
獲利・+$30
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $112K before July 14?· Yes
進場均價 100%・434 天前
獲利・+$30
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 18 at 5PM ET?· Yes
進場均價 100%・428 天前
獲利・+$30
已實現・已落袋
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?· No
進場均價 100%・52 天前
獲利・+$30
已實現・已落袋
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 16, 2026?· No
進場均價 100%・246 天前
獲利・+$29
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Tariff inflation" during December press conference?· Yes
進場均價 99%・283 天前
獲利・+$29
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Signal" during March press conference?· No
進場均價 99%・185 天前
獲利・+$29
已實現・已落袋
Will Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?· No
進場均價 97%・596 天前
獲利・+$29
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December press conference?· No
進場均價 97%・283 天前
獲利・+$28
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Comment" during March press conference?· No
進場均價 99%・185 天前
獲利・+$28
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during June Press Conference?· Yes
進場均價 95%・458 天前
獲利・+$26
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?· No
進場均價 97%・281 天前
獲利・+$26
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?· No
進場均價 100%・415 天前
獲利・+$25
已實現・已落袋
Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 27?· Yes
進場均價 99%・449 天前
獲利・+$24
已實現・已落袋
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?· No
進場均價 97%・423 天前
獲利・+$24
已實現・已落袋
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?· No
進場均價 100%・110 天前
獲利・+$24
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $108K on May 26 at 5 PM ET?· No
進場均價 96%・481 天前
獲利・+$23
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Pause" during December press conference?· No
進場均價 96%・283 天前
獲利・+$23
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $111K on May 27 at 5 PM ET?· No
進場均價 100%・480 天前
獲利・+$23
已實現・已落袋
Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 100%・325 天前
獲利・+$22
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on July 23?· No
進場均價 99%・423 天前
獲利・+$21
已實現・已落袋
Will Accenture (ACN) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?· Yes
進場均價 97%・356 天前
獲利・+$21
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?· No
進場均價 100%・415 天前
獲利・+$20
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $105K on June 4 at 5 PM ET?· Yes
進場均價 99%・472 天前
獲利・+$20
已實現・已落袋
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?· Yes
進場均價 100%・310 天前
獲利・+$20
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?· No
進場均價 2%・417 天前
獲利・+$20
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on May 26 at 5 PM ET?· Yes
進場均價 99%・481 天前
獲利・+$19
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $109K on May 27 at 5 PM ET?· No
進場均價 100%・480 天前
獲利・+$19
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?· No
進場均價 100%・415 天前
獲利・+$19
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?· No
進場均價 91%・658 天前
獲利・+$19
已實現・已落袋
Will Dave Portnoy launch a coin before March?· Yes
進場均價 100%・580 天前
獲利・+$18
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "China" during March press conference?· No
進場均價 98%・185 天前
獲利・+$18
已實現・已落袋
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?· No
進場均價 100%・110 天前
獲利・+$18
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Judge" during June Press Conference?· No
進場均價 100%・454 天前
獲利・+$17
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 18?· No
進場均價 100%・428 天前
獲利・+$16
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 20+ times during September press conference?· Yes
進場均價 98%・367 天前
獲利・+$16
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on June 17 at 5 PM ET?· Yes
進場均價 100%・459 天前
獲利・+$16
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $119K and $121K on July 23?· No
進場均價 99%・423 天前
獲利・+$15
已實現・已落袋
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 23, 2026?· No
進場均價 100%・239 天前
獲利・+$15
已實現・已落袋
Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with ≤2 dissents?· No
進場均價 98%・283 天前
獲利・+$15
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on June 2 at 5 PM ET?· Yes
進場均價 85%・474 天前
獲利・+$15
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Unchanged" during December press conference?· Yes
進場均價 100%・283 天前
獲利・+$13
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during December press conference?· Yes
進場均價 97%・283 天前
獲利・+$13
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?· No
進場均價 99%・568 天前
獲利・+$12
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July?· No
進場均價 100%・415 天前
獲利・+$12
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July?· No
進場均價 100%・415 天前
獲利・+$12
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on May 21 at 5 PM ET?· Yes
進場均價 100%・486 天前
獲利・+$12
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Dissenter" during December press conference?· No
進場均價 97%・283 天前
獲利・+$11
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $110K on May 22 at 5 PM ET?· Yes
進場均價 100%・485 天前
獲利・+$11
已實現・已落袋
Will Mark Cuban launch a coin by Friday?· No
進場均價 100%・603 天前
獲利・+$11
已實現・已落袋
Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?· No
進場均價 98%・283 天前
獲利・+$11
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $107K on June 13 at 5 PM ET?· No
進場均價 98%・463 天前
獲利・+$11
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by February 28, 2025?· No
進場均價 100%・568 天前
獲利・+$11
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $108K on May 25 at 5 PM ET?· Yes
進場均價 100%・482 天前
獲利・+$11
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 8 at 5 PM ET?· Yes
進場均價 100%・468 天前
獲利・+$10
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on June 4 at 5 PM ET?· No
進場均價 100%・472 天前
獲利・+$10
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during March press conference?· No
進場均價 97%・185 天前
獲利・+$10
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?· No
進場均價 100%・659 天前
獲利・+$10
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 18 at 5PM ET?· No
進場均價 100%・428 天前
獲利・+$9
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July?· No
進場均價 100%・415 天前
獲利・+$9
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?· No
進場均價 100%・577 天前
獲利・+$8
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?· Yes
進場均價 96%・675 天前
獲利・+$8
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $109K on May 25 at 5 PM ET?· No
進場均價 100%・482 天前
獲利・+$8
已實現・已落袋
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?· No
進場均價 94%・337 天前
獲利・+$8
已實現・已落袋
East coast port strike in January?· Yes
進場均價 44%・596 天前
獲利・+$8
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $108K on June 26 at 5PM ET?· Yes
進場均價 93%・450 天前
獲利・+$8
已實現・已落袋
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 18, 2026?· No
進場均價 100%・244 天前
獲利・+$8
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Refund" during March press conference?· No
進場均價 99%・185 天前
獲利・+$8
已實現・已落袋
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?· No
進場均價 99%・3 天前
獲利・+$7
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during March press conference?· No
進場均價 97%・185 天前
獲利・+$7
已實現・已落袋
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?· No
進場均價 94%・384 天前
獲利・+$7
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $107K on June 17 at 5 PM ET?· No
進場均價 100%・459 天前
獲利・+$7
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?· No
進場均價 100%・537 天前
獲利・+$7
已實現・已落袋
Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during December FOMC Press Conference?· Yes
進場均價 97%・640 天前
獲利・+$7
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $106K on June 9 at 5 PM ET?· No
進場均價 100%・467 天前
獲利・+$6
已實現・已落袋
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?· No
進場均價 100%・185 天前
獲利・+$6
已實現・已落袋
Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?· Yes
進場均價 70%・326 天前
獲利・+$6
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?· No
進場均價 98%・185 天前
獲利・+$6
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on May 26 at 5 PM ET?· No
進場均價 100%・481 天前
獲利・+$6
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $105K on June 6 at 5 PM ET?· No
進場均價 99%・470 天前
獲利・+$6
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Downbeat" during September press conference?· No
進場均價 97%・367 天前
獲利・+$6
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 again by March 31?· Yes
進場均價 24%・564 天前
獲利・+$6
已實現・已落袋
Will four or more people dissent the March Fed decision?· No
進場均價 99%・185 天前
獲利・+$6
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?· Yes
進場均價 100%・283 天前
獲利・+$6
已實現・已落袋
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 20, 2026?· No
進場均價 100%・242 天前
獲利・+$6
已實現・已落袋
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 72%・640 天前
獲利・+$6
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $84000 on Apr 18?· No
進場均價 100%・519 天前
獲利・+$6
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on June 5 at 5 PM ET?· No
進場均價 100%・471 天前
獲利・+$6
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?· No
進場均價 97%・262 天前
獲利・+$5
已實現・已落袋
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?· No
進場均價 0%・260 天前
獲利・+$5
已實現・已落袋
Will two people dissent the September Fed decision?· No
進場均價 97%・367 天前
獲利・+$5
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $104K on June 5 at 5 PM ET?· No
進場均價 100%・471 天前
獲利・+$5
已實現・已落袋
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 27?· Yes
進場均價 79%・450 天前
獲利・+$5
已實現・已落袋
Was Milei hacked?· No
進場均價 100%・580 天前
獲利・+$5
已實現・已落袋
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 5%・416 天前
獲利・+$5
已實現・已落袋
交易紀錄
最近加密相關市場交易・每日批次快照、非即時・中性記錄非跟單建議
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?· No
24,217.96 份 @ 99%
4 天前
SELL
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?· No
24,519 份 @ 100%
4 天前
BUY
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?· No
21,925.18 份 @ 83%
18 天前
BUY
China x Japan military clash before 2027?· No
155 份 @ 92%
44 天前
BUY
China x Japan military clash before 2027?· No
4,200 份 @ 92%
45 天前
BUY
China x Japan military clash before 2027?· No
1,454.18 份 @ 92%
51 天前
BUY
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?· No
3,027.05 份 @ 76%
52 天前
SELL
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?· No
7,795.24 份 @ 100%
54 天前
SELL
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?· No
2,335.65 份 @ 99%
113 天前
BUY
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?· No
200 份 @ 82%
117 天前
BUY
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?· No
3,600.34 份 @ 100%
143 天前
SELL
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?· No
9,589.14 份 @ 5%
143 天前
BUY
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?· No
10,637 份 @ 94%
143 天前
BUY
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?· No
9,764.06 份 @ 92%
143 天前
BUY
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?· Yes
5,658 份 @ 94%
143 天前
BUY
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?· Yes
547.08 份 @ 94%
143 天前
SELL
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?· No
2,877 份 @ 10%
143 天前
SELL
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?· Yes
6,047.55 份 @ 7%
143 天前
BUY
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?· No
18,962 份 @ 12%
143 天前
BUY
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?· No
653.58 份 @ 90%
143 天前
BUY
Will three people dissent the April Fed decision?· No
0.01 份 @ 99%
143 天前
BUY
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?· Yes
112.84 份 @ 97%
143 天前
SELL
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?· Yes
6,157.23 份 @ 9%
143 天前
SELL
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?· Yes
8 份 @ 10%
143 天前
BUY
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?· Yes
104.05 份 @ 94%
143 天前
BUY
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?· Yes
144.22 份 @ 73%
143 天前
SELL
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?· Yes
259.85 份 @ 19%
143 天前
BUY
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?· Yes
6,407.41 份 @ 95%
143 天前
SELL
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?· Yes
500 份 @ 10%
143 天前
BUY
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?· Yes
1,113.08 份 @ 76%
143 天前
BUY
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?· Yes
1,019.45 份 @ 100%
143 天前
BUY
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?· Yes
3,183.23 份 @ 98%
143 天前
BUY
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?· No
1,031.21 份 @ 98%
143 天前
BUY
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?· No
407.17 份 @ 100%
143 天前
BUY
Will three people dissent the April Fed decision?· No
5 份 @ 99%
143 天前
BUY
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during March press conference?· Yes
451.76 份 @ 99%
185 天前
BUY
Will Powell say "Refund" during March press conference?· No
15 份 @ 100%
185 天前
BUY
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during March press conference?· No
400 份 @ 100%
185 天前
BUY
Will Powell say "Refund" during March press conference?· No
103 份 @ 100%
185 天前
BUY
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during March press conference?· No
330 份 @ 100%
185 天前
BUY
Will Powell say "Comment" during March press conference?· No
5 份 @ 100%
185 天前
BUY
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during March press conference?· No
50 份 @ 100%
185 天前
BUY
Will Powell say "China" during March press conference?· No
50 份 @ 100%
185 天前
BUY
Will Powell say "Refund" during March press conference?· No
80 份 @ 99%
185 天前
BUY
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during March press conference?· No
50 份 @ 100%
185 天前
BUY
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during March press conference?· No
50 份 @ 100%
185 天前
BUY
Will Powell say "Refund" during March press conference?· No
450 份 @ 100%
185 天前
BUY
Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?· No
27.48 份 @ 100%
185 天前
BUY
Will Powell say "China" during March press conference?· No
116.66 份 @ 99%
185 天前
BUY
Will Powell say "Collect" or "Collected" during March press conference?· No
135.66 份 @ 99%
185 天前
FlowRadar Crypto· 純資訊與分析服務（information & analytics only）· 不構成任何投資建議資料來自 Polymarket 官方公開 API · 僅計加密相關市場 · 方向中性 · 勝率僅參考不排序 · 無跟單／複製／個人化